Parsing the NIE's release: Check the timing

Inspired by the Belmont Club.

The latest unclassified NIE on the Iranian nuclear weapon program was released a couple of days before the New York Times released its latest treasonous intelligence leak from the classified NIE. Coincidence?

The NIE was a bombshell that turned Intelligence agencies' opinions about Iran's intentions around 180 degrees, and it was based on information from August 2007. This may have come from Asghari's defection, or from one of several Quds force spies who were captured in Iraq, or from another source. By the way, Asghari defected but left his family behind in Iran. What kind of defector leaves his whole family behind? Only one who has no intention of revealing the truth: A double agent. Again, coincidence?

Bush is a good poker player. Some of his obscure moves have a purpose, no matter how nonsensical it seems. In this case he is making this play both for domestic political purposes and also to read his opponents' hand. The release of the unclassified NIE had two purposes, to disarm the scoop the New York Treasonous Times was about to release, and to test the intelligence in the NIE. The NYT release identified a number of Iranian officials, not by name, but by function. The NYT was going to burn these intelligence sources, and by releasing the unclassified NIE the president was able to warn them before they were exposed. The NYT release would also turn the NIE into a powerful symbol the anti-American left could use against Bush and the military.

If the NIE in combination with the NYT leak prompts a flurry of activity in Iran, or a new batch of Iranian counter-espionage killings then we know it's valid and the Iranians really have not yet resumed nuclear weapon design despite continuing to produce weapons grade Uranium. If the ants don't start boiling out of their nest then we know that Iran planted the info, the intelligence is highly probably to be dead wrong, and our troops can redouble their clandestine efforts assisting the rebels inside Iran while the Navy prepares for a bombing campaign.

Iran's response so far is "tsk tsk, ho hum."

Who is Keyser Soze? He is supposed to be Turkish. Some say his father was German. Nobody believed he was real. Nobody ever saw him or knew anybody that ever worked directly for him, but to hear Kobayashi tell it, anybody could have worked for Soze. You never knew. That was his power. The greatest trick the Devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist.

Does the Devil exist? Is Iran pursuing nuclear weapons intent on using them against America and Israel? Does it intend to protect itself from invasion while sending waves of terrorist attacks out far and wide? Or does it intend to use nuclear weapons to threaten its neighbors and gain control over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and gain a stranglehold on the world's oil supply? Perhaps all these forms of Jihad are in the plans. Iran has demonstrated its commitment to Jihad since 1979.

What is the next move now?

Supposedly of Turkish nationality but the son of a German father, Söze allegedly began his criminal career in Turkey as a low-level drug smuggler. The entity that is Keyser Söze was truly born, however, when rival smugglers working for the Hungarian Mafia invaded his house while he was away, raping his wife, and holding his children hostage, killing one of them when Söze arrived to show him they were serious. They then threatened to kill his wife and remaining children if he did not surrender his business to them. Rather than give in to their demands, he shot and killed his family and all but one of the Hungarians, whom he spared knowing that the survivor would tell the mafia gang what he was planning to do.

He lets the last Hungarian go. He waits until his wife and kids are in the ground and then he goes after the rest of the mob. He kills their kids, he kills their wives, he kills their parents and their parents' friends. He burns down the houses they live in and the stores they work in, he kills people that owe them money. And like that he was gone. Underground. Nobody has ever seen him since. He becomes a myth, a spook story that criminals tell their kids at night. "Rat on your pop, and Keyser Soze will get you." And no-one ever really believes.

My nightmares go like this.

The Golden Children of Al Qaeda in the Necronomicon

After Iran falls in war the Jihadists from Hezbollah and Hamas, Al Qaeda and the Qods Force rise from the ashes and slip out into the night of the world, carrying suitcase nuclear weapons, intent on Jihad and Qital against the infidel. Fathers, mothers, their friends, children, wives, in-laws, pets, creditors, employers, all become targets to these terrorist Keyser Sozes of the world.

If you know an American, a Briton, or a Jew you will be their target. If you read Wolf Pangloss or Belmont Club or any of a thousand blogs that are beginning to awaken to the danger you are their target.

When the God of slavery rules the world then we will all dance from his strings, marionettes in the madness, slaves to his hate and the hate wielded by his favorite people, who have agreed with alacrity to be his special, most obedient slaves in return for better treatment than everyone else.

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